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Nifty tests 3000: Beginning of rally or end of it?

March 24th, 2009

The benchmark indices ended marginally weak after giving up all the gains in the last half an hour of the trade. Both the indices started on a strong note following positive Asian markets and rally in US markets. The Sensex closed at 9,402, down 21 points and the Nifty ended at 2,938 down 1.2 points (provisional figures). The Indian equity markets have been strong in the past 10 days and have mirrored the rally seen in Asian and global markets.

On the rally: Is a big one sustainable or is it coming to an end?

“It’s a kind of a bear market rally mainly triggered by the US bailout plan on the toxic assets, which came through. I do not think fundamentally too much has changed in the past week or ten days,” says Jitendra Sriram, VP and Fund Manager – Equities at HSBC AMC. “Obviously, there were a lot of short positions too in the market.”

SA Narayan, Managing Director of Kotak Securities, echoes Sriram’s view. “I don’t think the rally will sustain in the short run. We have had four-five days of a good rally and there has been a lot of short-covering in the last two days. Once this short run fizzles out, the next stage is to see whether we see real institutional money chasing it,” he says. “We did see some amount of foreign inflows and if that continues then this rally can sustain but I do not see FII money chasing it around 10,000 levels.”

Source

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