Real Estate Boom in India
Real Estate Boom in India - Is it over yet?
The Indian Real estate industry has not experienced a lull in a long time now. Its almost like a huge ripple effect with big metros as epicenters, the boom is consistent and the real estate market is indeed growing at a fast pace.
As opposed to the archaic regulations, that stifled the real estate industry a few years ago, all that is fast changing and hence lending a distinct irrepressible bounce to the real estate market.
Statistics reveal that at this rate the real estate market is expected to grow from US$ 12 billion to US$ 45-50 billion in the coming five years. The influx of MNCs, has spurred the income levels and the international consumer now demands value for money in terms of convenient affordable luxury. This demand in quality real estate, has in turn spurred the developers to act as catalysts for the real estate market. Moreover, with various home loan provisions, low interest rates and easy bank finance for developers, the construction business is flourishing consistently. The most significant step taken by the Indian Government was allowing 100% FDI (Foreign Direct Investment) in this sector. According to recent reports, “FDI inflows have already increased by 326 percent in January 2006 outrunning the US FDI inflows by about 6 times”. [Source: indiabooming.com}. Many foreign companies are making a beeline here and investing into funds that invest in Indian developers. The likes of J.P.Morgan are planning to invest $4 billion in the Indian real estate. Morgan Stanley and Merrill Lynch have invested $68 million in Mantri Developers and $50 million in Panchsheel Developers respectively.
The attitudinal shift among the Indian consumer coupled with growing income levels, is creating a huge demand in the residential and commercial real estate sector. The lifestyle savvy consumer is ready to shell out money, and the developers are not lagging too far behind to keep pace to this burgeoning demand. This trend is expected to spiral upwards, as it is increasingly becoming evident by the growing townships, state of the art apartments, futuristically designed buildings, shopping and entertainment complexes etc.
The demand for commercial property is steadily on the rise, especially in the retail sector. With the MNCs rapid influx into the country, a huge necessity for office space has been created. It is estimated that by the year 2010, a demand for 150 mn sq.ft. of office space will be created by the IT industry alone across the major metros of the country. So, we can envisage an exponential growth in the real estate industry in the coming years as well. In fact, according to recent reports, “the real estate industry in India has been growing at 33 per cent CAGR (compound annual growth rate) and could be a $50 billion industry in the next four years”
The retail sector is not too far behind either. With shopping malls mushrooming all over, one can envisage the real estate industry as playing a vital factor in the county’s economic growth. Bangalore will soon be boasting of its first furniture mall and Delhi will soon have an auto mall. The Indian skylines are getting more and more ornate, with stunning architectural wonders coming up, at par with international standards. Top Indian builders are vying against each other to get a share of the real estate booming pie. The Rahejas, DLF, Unitech and many others are establishing a pan-Indian presence, with launching new townships and catering to the lifestyle demands of the “cant settle for anything less” consumer.
Many international groups, the likes of American International Group Inc (AIG), High Point Rendel of the UK, Edaw-US, Japan’s Kikken Sekkel, Lee Kim Tah Holdings and Cesma International from Singapore can foresee the potential in the Indian real estate market, and have expressed interest in the Indian real estate. The retail segment plays a vital part in the Indian real estate.
According to recent reports,” the global real-estate consulting group Knight Frank has ranked India 5th in the list of 30 emerging retail markets and predicted an impressive 20 per cent growth rate for the organized retail segment by 2010″. [Source: ibef.org]. The Royal Indian Raj International Corporation is investing a whopping $US 2.9 billion in a prestigious Bangalore project called Royal Garden City. The Likes Of Emmar Properties a Dubai based group, which is one of the largest real estate developer in the world, has linked with Delhi based MGF Developers. This will be India’s highest Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in the realty sphere amounting to over US$ 50 million in various projects. This boom is expected to further momentum in the foreseeable future, primarily due to easy financing facilities. It is being estimated that by the year 2015, the investment in real estate will touch up to $90 billion. In 2005 these investments were hovering around $12 billion. Hence this would be a giant leap, and there is no looking back henceforth. The U.S. based Tishman Speyer has joined hands with ICICI bank to invest US$ 1 billion. Other companies who are venturing into investments in the real estate sector include U.S. pension fund, CalPERS, hedge fund Farallon Capital Management, US-based developer Tishman Speyer and NRI fund Trikona Capital.
However, analytics do believe that things could go out of control if urbanization would be the only focus. Since India has been a predominantly agro based economy, eating up our land resources could backfire in an irremediable way. Careful planning is required to balance the nation’s economy, especially because of the country’s overpopulation.
Rising interest rates is yet another concern. With interest on home loans increasing, retail investors are losing interest in creating mortgages. But this would not pose a big hurdle in the path of ongoing boom in the real estate and at present, the rise in incomes is much more than the rise in interest rates.
Speculations of an impending bubble are also ripe, nonetheless, the Indian real estate is expanding exponentially, and if this tempo is maintained… the boom shall continue well into the future as international investors are lining up to emblazon the Indian skylines.